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It’s Only a Matter of Time

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Perceptions of Time   It takes about 130 milliseconds for a sprinters brain to detect and process a signal and translate that signal into action that results in them leaving the starters block. Wait for it.....   It takes 400 milliseconds... Read more


The Obvious is Not so Obvious

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Lessons in Debt   Mr X is told that he can stay at the Hilton in Time Square for FREE. After a 4 weeks stay of pure extravagance and indulgence he thinks he better get back to his mundane life. Mr X goes to the front desk to check out and is present... Read more


The Central Bank Put

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April produced the largest rally in equity markets since 1987. The US markets retraced roughly 60% of their losses from the highs in February, as did many other countries equity indices. Governments in G20 countries are implementing fiscal stimulus packages th... Read more


A Stoic’s Approach to Contrarian Trading

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Stoic Philosophy   While I don't claim to be an expert on stoicism there are many aspects of this philosophy that I connect with.   Stoicism has just a few central teachings. It sets out to remind us of how unpredictable the world can be.... Read more


Second Chances

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It is not often we are given second chances in life. However I believe this is exactly what we are experiencing right now. The question is who is going to identify and act on this seemingly obvious fact?   If we apply one of the most robust long ter... Read more


Learning from Mentors

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I would like to encourage you to check out our latest research on whether big gains are good for your trading success.       Marc Wainer the Property Tycoon This week saw the passing of a man who had a huge impact on my busine... Read more


Nobody Cares What you Think

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This week we posted some fascinating behavioural research on our blog, quantifying the impact, playing with your stop loss has on your trading performance. You can read the post in full on the site.   In summary people don't like to accept losing mo... Read more


The Panic Slowly Puzzle

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I hope you are all enjoying your long weekend celebrating Easter/Passover or chilling if neither is your thing.   The world has been in some form of lock-down for close to a month forcing us to to adapt to a new normal, living very closely with some... Read more


Velocity of Thought

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We are living in very unusual times. This week I will be celebrating the festival of Passover, a commemoration of the Jewish peoples freedom from slavery in Egypt more than 3000 years ago; but can I say this year we are free?   I don't know the answ... Read more


Risk, Money & Timing

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In the last week I have done an enormous amount of reading and thinking about what is going on in the markets. My home library is eclectic with a heavy dose of doomsday material. During the last financial crisis in 2008-2009 I bought a lot of literary works on... Read more


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