I have been thinking a lot over the last few weeks, more than usual if that is possible ?. I have probably never been more confused which is why I have avoided writing my weekly as I try and wrestle with my thoughts.   I am providing early warning, ... Read more

  Today is a major milestone in the Berman family. In the next hour we will have no kids at school. For 11.5yrs this kid would not do any work. He is on medication for ADD and has had no interest in doing school work for 98.5% of his time at school... Read more

Dear Mike,   I watched the Social Dilemma on Netflix last week and it has had a profound affect on me. It was really interesting listening to people who were or are at the forefront of the technology revolution that is socially manipul... Read more

I am currently having a hard time making sense of the world.   Intellectually I think I am able to make peace with the way things are these days. However, I find myself reverting to my old ways of thinking the moment I stop forcing myself to think i... Read more

In a book I am reading I came across a story that reminded me of a research paper I had read some time ago and I immediately saw a connection with the studies results and my own trading.   Dan Ariely is one of the leading academics in the field of b... Read more

Last week I shared some thoughts on our trading tool called MAE / MFE (maximum adverse excursion / maximum favourable excursion). This week I will introduce you to a new tool Kelly Calculator. You can visit the blog article to learn more how to use it. What I ... Read more

I have been suffering in a world of pain trying to short the stock market. I am trying to make it into the AxiSelect program to get an allocation of $350,000. You can follow my journey with the links at the bottom of the letter. If you read my daily torture yo... Read more

I have been in a very contemplative mood this last week trying to make sense of this crazy beautiful world we live in.   In Kurt Vonnegut's book Cat's Craddle he introduces the hypothetical concept of ice-nine where ice remains stable up to 100°c. W... Read more

I think this is a perfect summary of the state of the affairs today.     I wanted to highlight the current sentiment in the USD and share more about the PsyQuation trading tool OFSi (order flow sentiment indicator).   We have ... Read more

Market Commentary    This year we have dealt with (1) Trade Wars between China and the USA (2) Covid-19 (3) An Oil War (4) BLM (black lives matter) Protesting and Looting (5) Unemployment at near Great Depression levels (6) GDP contractions that wou... Read more