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Nobody Cares What you Think

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This week we posted some fascinating behavioural research on our blog, quantifying the impact, playing with your stop loss has on your trading performance. You can read the post in full on the site.   In summary people don't like to accept losing mo... Read more


The Panic Slowly Puzzle

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I hope you are all enjoying your long weekend celebrating Easter/Passover or chilling if neither is your thing.   The world has been in some form of lock-down for close to a month forcing us to to adapt to a new normal, living very closely with some... Read more


Velocity of Thought

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We are living in very unusual times. This week I will be celebrating the festival of Passover, a commemoration of the Jewish peoples freedom from slavery in Egypt more than 3000 years ago; but can I say this year we are free?   I don't know the answ... Read more


Risk, Money & Timing

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In the last week I have done an enormous amount of reading and thinking about what is going on in the markets. My home library is eclectic with a heavy dose of doomsday material. During the last financial crisis in 2008-2009 I bought a lot of literary works on... Read more


Market Panic

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I think we are all quite overwhelmed with the amount of information flying around the internet regarding the Covid-19. My plan in this newsletter is not to add to that panic about the virus but to rather inform you of my views relating to the markets and the i... Read more


Michael, Vlad, Thomas Hobbs & the Leviathan

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Every day at 3pm Sydney time and 6am Kiev time Vlad my co-founder and I speak for an hour about the day gone by, the day ahead, interspersed with a healthy dose of intellectual conjecture. For the past few years I have been trying to develop a major thesis ... Read more


The Good Inside

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Last week my letter titled "The Evil Inside" seemed to strike a chord for many, this week it is only fitting to continue with "The Good Inside". It is a big honour that so many people felt comfortable enough to share their inner most thoughts with me. I encour... Read more


The Evil Inside

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I think it is safe for me to say that we have all felt some embarrassment about something bad we have done, or about a bad character trait such as being greedy or lazy. For most of us we find it very difficult to confront these emotions about the evil inside s... Read more


Mind the Generation Gap

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I grew up in a close family and always felt blessed to go to my grandparents for Saturday lunch, where 4 generations would sit around the same table talking.   We don't really socialize much other than over the weekly Sabbath meals. This weekend I t... Read more


Everything we do has Consequences

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You can see that from the early 1980's interest rates have been coming down which has been the single biggest factor fueling asset inflation, with the US stock market and many other world indices hitting all time highs in January.   Trump would ... Read more


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