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A Stoic’s Approach to Contrarian Trading

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Stoic Philosophy   While I don't claim to be an expert on stoicism there are many aspects of this philosophy that I connect with.   Stoicism has just a few central teachings. It sets out to remind us of how unpredictable the world can be.... Read more


Second Chances

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It is not often we are given second chances in life. However I believe this is exactly what we are experiencing right now. The question is who is going to identify and act on this seemingly obvious fact?   If we apply one of the most robust long ter... Read more


Learning from Mentors

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I would like to encourage you to check out our latest research on whether big gains are good for your trading success.       Marc Wainer the Property Tycoon This week saw the passing of a man who had a huge impact on my busine... Read more


Nobody Cares What you Think

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This week we posted some fascinating behavioural research on our blog, quantifying the impact, playing with your stop loss has on your trading performance. You can read the post in full on the site.   In summary people don't like to accept losing mo... Read more


The Panic Slowly Puzzle

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I hope you are all enjoying your long weekend celebrating Easter/Passover or chilling if neither is your thing.   The world has been in some form of lock-down for close to a month forcing us to to adapt to a new normal, living very closely with some... Read more


Velocity of Thought

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We are living in very unusual times. This week I will be celebrating the festival of Passover, a commemoration of the Jewish peoples freedom from slavery in Egypt more than 3000 years ago; but can I say this year we are free?   I don't know the answ... Read more


Risk, Money & Timing

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In the last week I have done an enormous amount of reading and thinking about what is going on in the markets. My home library is eclectic with a heavy dose of doomsday material. During the last financial crisis in 2008-2009 I bought a lot of literary works on... Read more


Market Panic

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I think we are all quite overwhelmed with the amount of information flying around the internet regarding the Covid-19. My plan in this newsletter is not to add to that panic about the virus but to rather inform you of my views relating to the markets and the i... Read more


Michael, Vlad, Thomas Hobbs & the Leviathan

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Every day at 3pm Sydney time and 6am Kiev time Vlad my co-founder and I speak for an hour about the day gone by, the day ahead, interspersed with a healthy dose of intellectual conjecture. For the past few years I have been trying to develop a major thesis ... Read more


The Good Inside

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Last week my letter titled "The Evil Inside" seemed to strike a chord for many, this week it is only fitting to continue with "The Good Inside". It is a big honour that so many people felt comfortable enough to share their inner most thoughts with me. I encour... Read more


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